LATEST NOAA DATA

Super El Niño Live Map

Explore the tropical Pacific and the four official Niño monitoring regions.

ObservationLoading…
Loading cached NOAA SST anomaly (1991–2020)…
LATEST Real NOAA observations · no interpolated motion
Niño monitoring regionDrag to pan · scroll/pinch to zoom · click a region

“Super El Niño” is used here as a descriptive/search term. Official ENSO status and classifications remain those published by NOAA and other meteorological agencies.

REGIONAL IMPACT OUTLOOK

Where El Niño impacts are being observed — and where risk may develop next

Source-based regional signals for preparedness. Forecast impacts are probabilistic and are not guarantees of local weather.

Outlook basisSeptember 2026
Regional Impact Level1 Low2 Moderate3 High4 Severe5 Extreme
🇵🇭 Southern PhilippinesCURRENT SIGNAL
Impact levelHigh — 3/5
Signal
Suppressed convection / elevated dry-condition concern
Period
Observed in September 2026
Potential concerns
Water supply · agriculture · heat
Evidence
Observed atmospheric signal
CCSR/IRI September 2026 ENSO Update ↗
🇮🇩 IndonesiaCURRENT SIGNAL
Impact levelHigh — 3/5
Signal
Suppressed convection / elevated dry-condition concern
Period
Observed in September 2026
Potential concerns
Water supply · agriculture · fire weather
Evidence
Observed atmospheric signal
CCSR/IRI September 2026 ENSO Update ↗
🇵🇬 Papua New GuineaCURRENT SIGNAL
Impact levelHigh — 3/5
Signal
Suppressed convection / elevated dry-condition concern
Period
Observed in September 2026
Potential concerns
Water supply · agriculture · heat
Evidence
Observed atmospheric signal
CCSR/IRI September 2026 ENSO Update ↗
🌏 Southeast Asia & Maritime ContinentFORECAST
Impact levelHigh — 3/5
Signal
Increased probability of below-normal precipitation
Period
Oct–Dec 2026
Potential concerns
Drought · water supply · agriculture · fire weather
Evidence
Multi-model seasonal signal
CCSR/IRI September 2026 Seasonal Forecast ↗
🌎 Northern South AmericaFORECAST
Impact levelHigh — 3/5
Signal
Increased probability of below-normal precipitation
Period
Oct–Dec 2026
Potential concerns
Drought · agriculture · river/water levels
Evidence
Multi-model seasonal signal
CCSR/IRI September 2026 Seasonal Forecast ↗
🌎 Parts of Central AmericaFORECAST
Impact levelModerate — 2/5
Signal
Increased probability of below-normal precipitation
Period
Oct–Dec 2026
Potential concerns
Water supply · agriculture · heat
Evidence
Multi-model seasonal signal
CCSR/IRI September 2026 Seasonal Forecast ↗
🇿🇦 South AfricaFORECAST
Impact levelModerate — 2/5
Signal
Increased probability of below-normal precipitation
Period
Oct–Dec 2026
Potential concerns
Drought · agriculture · water supply
Evidence
Multi-model seasonal signal
CCSR/IRI September 2026 Seasonal Forecast ↗
How the 1–5 level works

This is a SuperElNino.app preparedness indicator, not an official NOAA/WMO warning scale. Level reflects the strength and specificity of the cited observed or seasonal climate signal and its potential relevance to climate-sensitive sectors. It does not infer local disaster severity from Niño 3.4 temperature alone. Levels 4–5 should be used only when authoritative regional/national outlooks or warnings support exceptional impact risk.

For local decisions and emergency action, always follow your national meteorological/hydrological service and local authorities.

HUMAN IMPACT TRACKER

Source-reported human impacts associated with current climate hazards

Fatality figures are shown only when a qualifying authoritative source reports a numeric tally. Inclusion does not by itself establish El Niño causation.

Last evidence scanAwaiting data
No verified figure available

No qualifying source-reported country fatality figures are available in the current stored update. Missing evidence is never displayed as zero.

How this tracker works

Gemini 3.7 Flash assists with daily discovery and structured extraction using Google Search grounding. SuperElNino.app accepts only numeric fatalities paired with a qualifying authoritative source URL. The system does not estimate deaths, infer missing values, or automatically attribute fatalities to El Niño.

Attribution: “Officially attributed” requires explicit attribution by the cited authority; “Potentially associated” indicates an authority discusses an El Niño relationship without directly attributing the deaths; otherwise the record is labeled “No direct attribution established.” Always follow local authorities for emergency information.